Analyze
The numbers behind CivicLens, and a calculator you can use yourself. Every rate comes with a range, because a rate from a few cases is much less reliable than one from thousands.
Chances calculator
Work out the odds in plain numbers. Nothing you type leaves your browser.
A project, a case or a promise often needs several things to go right. Give the chance of each step, and see the chance that all of them, any of them, or a number of them happen.
Combinations count the ways to choose a group when order does not matter. Permutations count the ways when order matters.
If something happened in some cases out of a total, how much should you trust that as a rate? This is the same method used for the court base rate.
How Supreme Court cases have ended, year by year
Share allowed in whole or part, with the plausible range. A narrow range means many cases. Click a heading to sort.
| Year | Decided | Allowed | Plausible range |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 194 | 71% | 64% to 77% |
| 2025 | 674 | 71% | 67% to 74% |
| 2024 | 556 | 70% | 66% to 74% |
| 2023 | 658 | 69% | 65% to 72% |
| 2022 | 826 | 74% | 71% to 77% |
| 2021 | 524 | 70% | 66% to 74% |
| 2020 | 411 | 59% | 54% to 64% |
| 2019 | 771 | 65% | 62% to 69% |
| 2018 | 544 | 62% | 58% to 66% |
| 2017 | 509 | 63% | 59% to 67% |
| 2016 | 405 | 60% | 55% to 65% |
| 2015 | 585 | 60% | 56% to 64% |
| 2014 | 613 | 62% | 58% to 66% |
| 2013 | 658 | 55% | 51% to 58% |
| 2012 | 475 | 52% | 47% to 56% |
| 2011 | 643 | 59% | 55% to 62% |
Which ministries keep their word
From the record of assurances given in Parliament. Ministries with at least 100 assurances. The full table, with sorting, is on the Promises page.
Highest share fulfilled
- Information and Broadcasting: 93 percent of 284
- Environment, Forests and Climate Change: 93 percent of 437
- Consumer Affairs, Food and Public Distribution: 92 percent of 279
- Coal: 92 percent of 347
- Communications: 92 percent of 630
- Science and Technology: 90 percent of 143
- Defence: 89 percent of 559
- Ayush: 88 percent of 120
Lowest share fulfilled
- Atomic Energy: 49 percent of 148
- Electronics and Information Technology: 60 percent of 117
- Tourism: 68 percent of 176
- Civil Aviation: 70 percent of 661
- Power: 71 percent of 289
- Tribal Affairs: 73 percent of 185
- Ports, Shipping and Waterways: 73 percent of 259
- New and Renewable Energy: 74 percent of 129
Most pending for over a year
- Civil Aviation: 85 assurances
- Railways: 79 assurances
- Education: 61 assurances
- Road Transport and Highways: 56 assurances
- Social Justice and Empowerment: 51 assurances
- Housing and Urban Affairs: 42 assurances
- Tourism: 42 assurances
- Jal Shakti: 38 assurances
Forecasts for individual open promises are on the Predict page.